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Crexi · Multifamily

Jacksonville, FL

8900 Arlington Expy

$9.8M 112 units
View on Crexi →
71 Score

Qualified opportunity — minor risk factors noted

Underwriting Summary

NOI $637K Net Operating Income
Cap Rate 6.50% Going-in cap rate
LTV 73.0% Loan-to-value
DSCR 1.31x Debt service coverage
Loan Constant 6.20% Annual payment / loan balance
Debt Yield 8.3% NOI / loan balance
Occupancy 93% In-place occupancy
Price / Door $88K Per unit basis

Cap Rate Stress Test

Valuation impact of cap rate movement on a NOI-constant basis.

Scenario Cap Rate Implied Value Equity Impact
−50bps 6.00% $10.6M +8.3%
Base Base 6.50% $9.8M 0.0%
+50bps 7.00% $9.1M -7.1%
+100bps 7.50% $8.5M -13.3%

DSCR Rate Sensitivity

Coverage ratio under interest rate shock scenarios.

Rate Scenario DSCR Status
Current Rate Current 1.31x Pass
+100bps 1.17x Marginal
+200bps 1.06x Marginal

Threshold: 1.25x (agency standard) · 1.0x (minimum acceptable)

Rent Comps

Comparable properties within the submarket. Market rent per unit/month.

Address Market Rent Year Built Distance
7800 Merrill Rd $1,180/mo 2006 1 mi
9400 Regency Square Blvd $1,220/mo 2013 0.8 mi
10200 Atlantic Blvd $1,155/mo 2002 1.5 mi

Sample comps generated for illustration. Live deals show actual market data from CoStar/Rentometer.

Risk Flags

  • Insurance cost headwinds in Florida — estimate 15–20% YoY increase
  • Submarket concentrated near single employer (Naval Station Mayport)
  • Deferred exterior maintenance visible in listing photos
Clearfield Agent

Investment Rationale

Jacksonville at 71 scores in the acceptable range, penalized primarily for Florida insurance exposure and submarket concentration. The 6.5% cap rate and 1.31x DSCR are healthy fundamentals, and the 112-unit count clears the institutional ownership threshold. At $87,500/door, this is priced below replacement cost in a market that has seen meaningful in-migration.

The insurance line is the key underwriting variable. Florida multifamily insurance costs rose 18% on average in 2023 and are expected to continue rising as carriers re-price coastal and near-coastal exposure. This property on Arlington Expy is not in a SFHA flood zone, but the proximity to the St. Johns River means any institutional buyer will stress-test at +20–25% insurance costs, which would reduce NOI by approximately $38,000 and push the effective cap rate down to 6.1%.

At a 6.1% stressed cap rate with a DSCR of 1.22x, the deal remains passable but not exceptional. The 71 score reflects a property that will attract regional operators and 1031 buyers rather than institutional capital. A disciplined buyer who can contain insurance through scale or a captive program can squeeze additional yield; absent that, this is a market-rate hold with modest upside.

This is a sample analysis. Live deal rationale is generated by the Clearfield agent at deal ingestion using real financial data.

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