Underwriting Summary
Cap Rate Stress Test
Valuation impact of cap rate movement on a NOI-constant basis.
| Scenario | Cap Rate | Implied Value | Equity Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| −50bps | 6.30% | $9.4M | +7.9% |
| Base Base | 6.80% | $8.8M | 0.0% |
| +50bps | 7.30% | $8.2M | -6.8% |
| +100bps | 7.80% | $7.6M | -12.8% |
DSCR Rate Sensitivity
Coverage ratio under interest rate shock scenarios.
| Rate Scenario | DSCR | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Current Rate Current | 1.34x | Pass |
| +100bps | 1.20x | Marginal |
| +200bps | 1.09x | Marginal |
Threshold: 1.25x (agency standard) · 1.0x (minimum acceptable)
Rent Comps
Comparable properties within the submarket. Market rent per unit/month.
| Address | Market Rent | Year Built | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7800 Burnet Rd | $1,450/mo | 2009 | 0.8 mi |
| 9200 N Lamar Blvd | $1,520/mo | 2014 | 1.1 mi |
| 6600 Metric Blvd | $1,385/mo | 2003 | 1.6 mi |
| 10100 Jollyville Rd | $1,610/mo | 2018 | 2.4 mi |
Sample comps generated for illustration. Live deals show actual market data from CoStar/Rentometer.
Risk Flags
- Submarket vacancy trending up 40bps YoY — watch rent growth assumptions
- Austin MSA oversupply: ~18,000 units under construction
- Interest rate sensitivity elevated — DSCR dips to 1.08 at +200bps
- In-place rents 6% below market — reversion risk if occupancy softens
Investment Rationale
This Austin asset earns its 88 score on the strength of a 6.8% cap rate in a market where institutional capital is repricing stabilized product closer to 5.5–6.0%. The 96-unit count crosses the institutional ownership threshold, and the 94% occupancy on the trailing 12-month T3 provides confidence in the NOI. DSCR of 1.34x at current agency rates gives the deal meaningful debt service cushion.
The primary risk is the Austin supply pipeline. Roughly 18,000 units are under construction in the MSA, and some submarkets — particularly North Austin along the MoPac corridor — are absorbing new deliveries. This asset sits on N Lamar Blvd, a transitional corridor with strong walk scores but direct exposure to Class-A lease-up competition. Underwriting assumes 93% stabilized occupancy, which is achievable but requires active lease management.
Net: this is a well-priced stabilized multifamily asset in a high-growth Sun Belt market. The score reflects the strong cap rate and coverage, discounted for macro supply risk. A buyer with a 5-year hold horizon and agency financing can model a 14–17% IRR on a moderate value-add renovation of the unit interiors, which are 10+ years behind market finish level.
This is a sample analysis. Live deal rationale is generated by the Clearfield agent at deal ingestion using real financial data.
Want this on every deal in your market?
The Clearfield agent monitors Crexi and LoopNet 24/7, underwrites every listing, and delivers a scored digest to your inbox daily. Get Pro and start receiving live deal flow immediately.
Start Pro — $299/mo →Or join the free waitlist for early access.